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Washington Nationals' Top 10 Prospects According To ESPN.com's Keith Law.

The only name on ESPN.com's Keith Law's list of the Top 10 Prospects in the Washington Nationals' organization when he published his 2012 rankings on Friday that wasn't on either Baseball America's updated list or in MLB.com's Top 10, was 20-year-old 2010 12th Round pick Robbie Ray's. MLB.com's scouts had Ray 12th overall as the third-best left-hander in the system behind 2010 2nd Rounder Sammy Solis and 2011 3rd Round pick Matt Purke, as Ray was on Mr. Law's list. That's where D.C. GM Mike Rizzo placed the left-hander as well when he mentioned Ray as part of a second-wave of pitchers on the way up behind the top arms in the organization when asked about dealing three pitching prospects (RHPs A.J. Cole and Brad Peacock and LHP Tom Milone) to Oakland in the deal that landed A's lefty Gio Gonzalez.

"I thought we were protected there with major league caliber pitching immediately there at the major league level," Rizzo told reporters before adding, "Don't forget we've got another wave of prospects coming, that I think will at least equal and possibly surpass the package of guys that we've given up in this trade. With the Purkes and the Solises and the [Alex] Meyers of the world. Then we also have a wave behind them of the Rays and the [Paul] Demnys and those type of guys behind them. So, we feel that we're set up very, very well for the long haul."

Star-divide

Ray, a Brentwood, TN-born lefty, was drafted out of high school, though he had committed to attend the University of Arkansas. He was given a well-above-slot $799,000 signing bonus as part of what the Nats' GM said recently was a plan on the Nationals' part to "attack the draft" in the last couple seasons knowing the new CBA would change the way teams are able to spend on the amateur draft. Ray pitched just one inning in 2010, but the 19-year-old was (2-3) with a 3.13 ERA, 3.19 FIP, 38 walks (3.84 BB/9) and 95 K's (9.61 K/9) in 20 starts and 89.0 innings pitched at Class-A Hagerstown in his first pro season which started late after an extended Spring Training.

The write-up on Ray by MLB.com's scouts says that the left-hander's, "... stuff doesn’t jump out at you, but he does have a three-pitch mix. His fastball has good sink to it, he has a slider and his changeup is probably his best pitch." The recommendation is that Ray "refine his command" as he moves up through the organization. In addition to the walks, he did hit 12 batters (1.21 HBP/9) in 2011, which tied for the 5th highest total in the South Atlantic League. But as they note in the write-up, Ray, who turned 20 on October 1st, is still very young...

• ESPN.com's Keith Law's Top 10 Prospects - Washington Nationals:

  1. Bryce Harper - OF
  2. Anthony Rendon - 3B
  3. Alex Meyer - RHP
  4. Destin Hood - RF
  5. Brian Goodwin - OF
  6. Sammy Solis - LHP
  7. Matt Purke - LHP
  8. Steve Lombardozzi - IF
  9. Robbie Ray - LHP
  10. Michael Taylor - CF

• CFOTF?: No. 10 on ESPN.com's Keith Law's list of the Top 10 Washington Nationals' prospects, Michael Taylor, was no.10 on Baseball America's updated list and no.5 on MLB.com's list, and was also featured Friday on the ESPN.com scout and writer's list of the, "Sleeper prospects for all 30 teams." Taylor, Mr. Law wrote, was drafted as an infielder and, "... has gone from an awful shortstop to a potentially plus center fielder with great range, strong reads and plenty of arm to stay up the middle." Taylor was a 2009 6th Round pick out of high school at Westminter Academy in Ft. Lauderdale, FL.

After putting up a .199/.276/.298 line in 43 games and 164 plate appearances in 2010 with the GCL Nats and Class-A Hagerstown Suns, Taylor returned to Hagerstown and played in 126 games, making 488 PA's in 2011 over which he put up a .253/.310/.432 line with 26 doubles, seven triples, 13 HR's and 23 stolen bases in 35 attempts. The 6'2'', 190 lb center fielder played all three outfield positions with the Suns, (after making 23 errors in 40 games as an infielder in 2010), but spent most of his time in CF in 2011 where he had a .974 fld% on the year with five errors in center.

Asked by former D.C. GM Jim Bowden for a quick scouting report on a position player and pitcher in the Nats' system that he was excited about during an MLB Network Radio interview this past December, the Nats' general manager mentioned A.J. Cole, who's since been traded to the A's as mentioned above, and Taylor, describing the outfielder as, "a young, Mike Cameron-kind-of-looking toolsy player that's just learning how to swing the bat,":

"We drafted him as a shortstop out of Florida, high school, and he's made the transition to center field smoothly. Defensively he's way above his developmental curve. Offensively, he's trying to catch up. But, a 19-year-old handled the [South Atlantic League] pretty well and those are two guys that we feel have huge upsides."

The quick scouting report included with MLB.com's list of the Nats' top prospects describes Taylor as having, "... very good bat speed that generates above-average power," and it says his, "... above-average speed should allow him to steal some bases," while also noting, as Rizzo did, that Taylor has "... made a good transition to the outfield."

MLB.com's Bill Ladson wrote this Fall, in an article entitled, "Taylor on path to be Nats' center fielder of future", that Taylor was, "the best defensive center fielder in the farm system," and one of the outfield prospects that had the Nationals thinking twice about signing a center fielder long-term as they searched for a CF/leadoff bat this winter.

• LINKS: Previous 2012 Nats' Prospects Posts:

Washington Nationals' Bryce Harper No.2 On MLB.com's 2012 Top 100 Prospect List. - Federal Baseball

Wire Taps: Washington Nationals Sign Chad Durbin To Minor League Deal, Rizzo On Baseball America, John Lannan Arbitration... - Federal Baseball

The Washington Nationals' Top Prospects According To MLB.com And Baseball America. - Federal Baseball

0 recs  |  23 comments

Comments

I like the idea of Taylor...

But he has huge JP Ramirez-sized warnings written all over him.

Does anyone remember how Ramirez was getting tons of buzz as the next toolsy OF of the future for his 2010 season at Hagerstown? If I remember correctly, he was on several of those top sleeper pick lists last year.

I’m excited about Taylor, but until he can have two good seasons, I’m not getting my hopes up for him.

Forgot to mention

His 32:120 BB:K ratio. He’s going to get eaten alive by pitchers at the higher levels if he doesn’t address that soon.

I like Taylor...but

How does he manage to finish above the following players in our Org prospect rankings:
Dan Rosenbaum
Randolph Oduber
David Freitas
Christopher Manno
Eury Perez
Erik Arnesen
…. This list could go on, I just don’t see Taylor as better than those on this list

Manno was traded to the Reds

Not really sure why, but he’s no longer a National

Because DJ wanted a hairy chested bench bat, and Rizzo thought he'd get a compensation pick for Gomes

A comp pick that the Nats would use to essentially replace Manno. Unfortunately (as we all know) Gomes tanked to the point that he wasn’t a Type B – and the Nationals couldn’t risk offering him arbitration because Gomes was likely to get more out of arbitration than he would get out of the open market. And he’d have been right – he signed with the A’s for $1.1 million after making $1.75 million last year.

Heres why he is ahead of thoes guys

Rosenbaum-old for the level, and dosent throw hard
Oduber-injured a lot, and never truly estabished himelf as a prospect
David Freitas-will need another good year to get attention
Christopher Manno-Gone
Eury Perez-slap hitter, limited upside
Erik Arnesen-To old

Has he had one good season yet?

That slash line is less than impressive at the low A level.

Toolsy players will always be overrated by scouts

It’s the same reason why Lastings Milledge was ranked the 9th best prospect in baseball, despite never posting very impressive numbers in the minors.

It’s also why I cringe whenever I hear a player described as “toolsy”, because “toolsy” only describes potential. If a player lived up to that potential, and smacked a bunch of HRs, stole a bunch of bases, and played good defense, then that’s how he’d be described. But when a player is still being described as toolsy, it’s essentially a euphemism for saying “the guy hasn’t yet lived up to his potential”. Who knows if he ever will.

With that said, Taylor’s Hagerstown numbers are good. A certain young, coveted CF named Peter Bourjos has a career .253/.303/.423 career slash in the majors, nearly identical to Taylor’s .253/.310/.432.

You also have to remember that the MLB average CF batted .261/.325/.406. If he can also play above average defense, you have an immensely valuable player.

For example, BJ Upton has batted only .240/.322/.408 over the past 3 seasons. His defense has only been marginally above average (3.2 UZR/150), yet he’s still been worth 10.5 WAR in that period.

It doesn’t take much for a CF to become very valuable. And the idea is if Taylor can replicate these numbers through the system, he too could be a very valuable. My concern is that he’s only done this once, and at low A. He’s gotta do it again, before I start buying into the hype.

But Bourjos' numbers in Low A were significantly better than that, 274/335/476

I would expect more from someone who is in thee second year of Low A than what Taylor produced.

He's not

He had 15 ABs in Hagerstown last year.

Taylors hype comes from his second half after switching from SS to CF

his second half numbers were .291/.351//.498/.848

Thanks for all the replies

Other than the age and injury reasons why others weren’t more highly rated. I think this answer does justice for the reason. Thanks

JP Ramirez

was a HS-player who got a big bonus when the Nats missed on Crow. He reportedly had a big bat, but was raw as an OF with little speed and an average arm. JP stumbled badly in Potomac last year & has had others move past him in the system.

Sigh, February.

Tick…….. Tock ………………………………… Tick……………………………………. Tock……………………………………………………………………… Tick…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. Tock……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

"Pitchers who help themselves, go further into games than those who don't."

Lannan’s first career homer
http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=17184145&c_id=mlb

7/22/11: John Lannan helps his own cause with a two-run home run to right field, giving the Nationals a 3-0 lead in the second. John Lannan pitched six-plus innings and hit his first career homer in the Nationals’ win against the Dodgers

thanks for digging these up.. you find some nice gems :)

no problem..........it's nice MLB provides some good times past to kill time while we wait for good times future...
What a nice way to start Monday morning. Great clip.
Orioles sign Luis Ayala (1 yr) and Nick Johnson (minor-league deal only)

Next up: Orioles will soon announce that they have signed John Patterson, Brad Wilkerson, Tim Redding, Matt Chico and Jason Bergmann to bolster their roster and put them into contention in the AL East.

Jose Guillen

waves at you. You don’t want him to hit an angry interleague HR against the Nats, do you?

Hope Nick can make it back

he had a sweet batting eye…

Ayala, Johnson, Patterson, and Wilkerson

Helped me to fall in love with the Nats. No lie.

I never cared all that much for Patterson, he had the stuff, but it didn’t seem to me he had the makeup. I didn’t think he was going to turn out to be anything more than a 4-5 rotation guy. Again it shows how far the Nats have come, since at one time he was our SS!
I love Ayala and of course Nick, Wilkerson not so much.

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